Photo: Chinese-flagged "Improved Kilo Class" diesel-electric submarine.
On 15 April, 2020, Papua New Guinea's (PNG) Post Courier newspaper reported that between 22 and 25 March, 2020, people on Takuu (Mortlock) Atoll, Autonomous Region of Bougainville (AROB), sighted a submarine on the sea surface approximately three kilometres from shore. Mortlock Community Leader David Marena reported that the submarine moved slowly on the surface for 10-15 minutes before submerging. No further sightings of the submarine were reported. Takuu Atoll is situated 250km north-east of Kieta, AROB.
This submarine sighting follows a 23 December, 2019 report of suspected bathymetric data collection north of Manus Island in PNG's exclusive economic zone (EEZ) by the Chinese scientific survey ships Ke Xue and Hai Ce 3301. The Australian Broadcasting Commission (ABC) reported in April 2020 that these ships are part of a two-dozen strong Chinese "Distant-Ocean Research Fleet" that has conducted expansive maritime surveys around the Philippines, Palau, Guam and Japan over the past two years.
The ABC reports that military analysis of Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite data reveals these two Chinese vessels entered PNG'S EEZ north of Manus Island just weeks after a November 2018 announcement by the United States (U.S.) Vice President of a joint redevelopment, with Australia and PNG, of the Lombrum Naval Base on Manus Island. The even spacing between the vessels' ocean tracks indicates that they were engaged in bathymetric data collection.
Although China insists that its oceanographic surveys are "contributing to maritime scientific study", defence analysts are aware that information gained for resource purposes has dual use for military purposes. Establishing the baseline data around the nature of the seabed composition and terrain, and the ocean's salinity and thermal layers is useful for planning seabed mining, but also to determine the ideal acoustic conditions for submarine operations.
A December 2015 edition of "The Diplomat" commented on the growing undersea arm of the People's Liberation Army Navy of China. Quoting the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence, The Diplomat reported that China's attack submarine fleet consists of 57 diesel-electric submarines and 5 nuclear-powered attack submarines. Twelve of the diesel-electric submarines are Russian-made "Improved Kilo"-class vessels, most of which were commissioned in 2006. Judging from the recent submarine sighting off Takuu Atoll, it seems that China may already be putting to good use the bathymetric data its survey ships have been gathering in PNG's EEZ.
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